LD Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
2º
37
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 2
LDA
25%
26%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
SAP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 1
LDA
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 0
LDA
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 2
MUN
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
CSH
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRE
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PER
0 - 0
GUA
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |