Atlético Alagoinhas vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
63%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 0
ALA
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
BAH
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 0
ALA
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIT
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 2
ALA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
VIT
5 - 0
NAU
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 3
VIT
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 0
ALA
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |