Atlético Alagoinhas vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
ALA
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
ALA
4 - 2
RIO
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 1
ALA
81%
13%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 2
VIT
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ALA
3 - 2
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
FLU
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TIG
3 - 2
MAC
34%
25%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 3
MAC
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |