Atlético Alagoinhas vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 0
ALA
59%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 2
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
ALA
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 2
MAC
35%
26%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
ALA
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 2
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
POC
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 4
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
FEI
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IPI
3 - 2
ITA
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |