Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Zawraa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DUH
2 - 1
ALZ
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
ALZ
0 - 1
ALS
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ALZ
0 - 0
ALM
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALZ
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ALZ
4 - 0
ALN
65%
22%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Al Karkh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
KAR
3 - 1
ALM
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
BAG
1 - 0
KAR
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
KAR
0 - 1
ALN
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
KAR
3 - 0
KAR
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 3
ALS
35%
31%
35%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |