AFC Cup Final
Global 3-3
Al-Wahda vs Al-Jaish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wahda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
WAH
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
WAH
4 - 1
DUB
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
GEY
0 - 1
WAH
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
EMI
1 - 4
WAH
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
WAH
1 - 1
GEY
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALJ
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ALJ
2 - 1
SHO
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
TIS
2 - 2
ALJ
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
LCS
1 - 2
ALJ
78%
13%
9%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -4 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
ALJ
4 - 0
LCS
24%
21%
55%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |