Al Shorta vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 2
ALS
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALT
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
ALK
1 - 1
ALS
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
ALS
1 - 0
NAF
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 3
ALS
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 2
BAG
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
ARB
46%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 3
ALZ
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALK
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 0
ARB
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |