Al Shorta vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ZAK
1 - 0
ALS
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALM
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
KAR
0 - 2
ALS
23%
28%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
ALS
5 - 0
DUH
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 0
ALT
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 0
ALZ
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 0
ALM
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
BAG
1 - 2
ARB
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 0
NAF
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |