Al-Shamal vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
11º
9º
44
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 4
SAD
16%
19%
65%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 0
WAK
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 2
QAT
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 1
AHL
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ADS
3 - 1
ALS
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
WAK
2 - 4
GHA
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
GHA
12%
19%
69%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 1
UMM
61%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
GHA
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 0
RAY
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |