Al-Shamal vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
11º
10º
32
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 1
ALS
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 1
ALS
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
SIV
2 - 0
ALS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
4 - 2
ALS
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
ALS
1 - 1
ARA
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
WAK
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 1
SAI
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
AHA
4 - 2
GHA
16%
18%
65%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
GHA
0 - 1
FOO
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SAD
8 - 2
GHA
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |