AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Al-Shabab vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
ULS
6 - 0
ALS
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALF
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALQ
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
SAD
2 - 3
ALS
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
ALS
2 - 0
ALA
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
GYE
0 - 1
ULS
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
ULS
6 - 0
ALS
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ULS
1 - 1
BUS
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
SEO
0 - 1
ULS
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
ULS
1 - 0
CDR
45%
30%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |