Al-Shabab vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALI
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
ALS
2 - 1
PAK
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALS
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SEP
1 - 0
ALS
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
ALW
0 - 0
ALS
45%
24%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
SOR
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SHA
0 - 1
EST
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
ZOB
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |