Al-Riffa vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Riffa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
0 - 0
RIF
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
RIF
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
RIF
2 - 0
SHA
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
0 - 2
RIF
32%
23%
46%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 0
RIF
7%
13%
80%
|
62 | 11 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALN
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
RIF
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
6 - 0
ALA
92%
7%
2%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 1
ALM
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 3
ARB
39%
25%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |