Al-Rayyan vs Al-Sailiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
6º
5º
0
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
3 | 20 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 20 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 18 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 17 |
5º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 17 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 14 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 12 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 11 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
7% | 1% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
9% | 2.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
11% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Rayyan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
RAY
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 0
RAY
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
JOH
0 - 1
RAY
36%
22%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
RAY
1 - 2
GHA
44%
22%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
AHL
0 - 3
RAY
34%
22%
44%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Sailiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAI
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 4
ALI
30%
22%
48%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SAI
0 - 0
DIB
29%
23%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
ZOR
0 - 0
SAI
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
ADS
4 - 2
SAI
57%
21%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |