Lebanon League Championship round Round 15

Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour analysis

Al Nejmeh Tadamon Sour
52 ELO 41
-3.3% Tilt -8.2%
4544º General ELO ranking 5404º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.3%
Al Nejmeh
18.7%
Draw
12%
Tadamon Sour

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
Al Nejmeh
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
Tadamon Sour
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Nejmeh
-1%
-66%
Tadamon Sour

ELO progression

Al Nejmeh
Tadamon Sour
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Nejmeh
Al Nejmeh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2025
HIK
Al Hikma
2 - 3
Al Nejmeh
ALN
39%
26%
35%
50 49 1 0
08 Jul. 2025
ALN
Al Nejmeh
1 - 6
Al Ansar Beirut
ALA
38%
25%
37%
52 52 0 -2
03 Jul. 2025
ALN
Al Nejmeh
4 - 1
Al Ahed
ALA
39%
26%
36%
52 52 0 0
26 Jun. 2025
SAF
Safa
3 - 3
Al Nejmeh
ALN
47%
26%
27%
52 52 0 0
21 Jun. 2025
ALN
Al Nejmeh
5 - 1
Tadamon Sour
TAD
61%
23%
16%
52 46 6 0

Matches

Tadamon Sour
Tadamon Sour
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2025
ALA
Al Ansar Beirut
2 - 0
Tadamon Sour
TAD
72%
17%
11%
43 52 9 0
08 Jul. 2025
ALA
Al Ahed
5 - 3
Tadamon Sour
TAD
67%
20%
14%
44 50 6 -1
02 Jul. 2025
SAF
Safa
5 - 2
Tadamon Sour
TAD
68%
19%
13%
45 52 7 -1
26 Jun. 2025
HIK
Al Hikma
3 - 1
Tadamon Sour
TAD
55%
24%
21%
45 50 5 0
21 Jun. 2025
ALN
Al Nejmeh
5 - 1
Tadamon Sour
TAD
61%
23%
16%
46 52 6 -1