Al-Nassr vs Zob Ahan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALI
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALK
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ZOB
3 - 0
ALN
39%
25%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALO
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zob Ahan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 1
ZOB
45%
30%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ZOB
1 - 1
SAB
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ZOB
3 - 0
ALN
39%
25%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
RAH
1 - 1
ZOB
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ZOB
1 - 2
TRA
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |