Al-Nassr vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ALT
1 - 2
ALN
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALS
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2003 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALQ
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2003 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALN
17%
24%
59%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALH
48%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALS
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
0 - 0
ALH
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2003 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALI
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALH
48%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
ALH
0 - 2
ALA
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |