AFC Champions . Quarter-finals

Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli SFC analysis

Al-Nassr Al-Ahli SFC
83 ELO 76
7.9% Tilt 10.8%
533º General ELO ranking 563º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.4%
Al-Nassr
20.7%
Draw
17.8%
Al-Ahli SFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
Al-Nassr
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.8%
Win probability
Al-Ahli SFC
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Nassr
+39%
+8%
Al-Ahli SFC

ELO progression

Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli SFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2020
ALN
Al-Nassr
1 - 0
Al-Taawoun
ALT
73%
18%
10%
83 69 14 0
24 Sep. 2020
ALN
Al-Nassr
0 - 1
Al-Ain
AIN
62%
20%
18%
83 76 7 0
21 Sep. 2020
SAA
Al-Sadd
1 - 1
Al-Nassr
ALN
46%
23%
32%
83 79 4 0
18 Sep. 2020
ALN
Al-Nassr
2 - 0
Sepahan
SEP
66%
20%
14%
83 77 6 0
15 Sep. 2020
SEP
Sepahan
0 - 2
Al-Nassr
ALN
29%
25%
46%
82 77 5 +1

Matches

Al-Ahli SFC
Al-Ahli SFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2020
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
1 - 1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
SAD
46%
25%
29%
77 79 2 0
23 Sep. 2020
EST
FC Esteghlal
3 - 0
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
44%
26%
31%
78 79 1 -1
17 Sep. 2020
ALS
Al Shorta
2 - 1
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
44%
25%
31%
78 77 1 0
14 Sep. 2020
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
1 - 0
Al Shorta
ALS
50%
24%
26%
78 77 1 0
09 Sep. 2020
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
2 - 0
Al-Raed
ALR
62%
21%
17%
77 68 9 +1
X