Saudi Arabia Second Division Normal Season Round 26

Al Nairyah vs Al-Safa analysis

Al Nairyah Al-Safa
49 ELO 54
-3.5% Tilt -10.2%
42255º General ELO ranking 2551º
120º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
42.1%
Al Nairyah
27.6%
Draw
30.3%
Al-Safa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
Al Nairyah
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.3%
Win probability
Al-Safa
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Al Nairyah
Their league position
Al-Safa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
15º
58
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Al-Najma FC
64
64
100%
Al-Safa
58
58
100%
Al Taraji
56
56
100%
Bisha
55
55
100%
Al-Bukiryah
55
55
100%
Al-Kawkab
53
53
100%
Al Jandal
50
50
100%
Tuwaiq
49
49
100%
Al Nairyah
47
47
100%
Al-Saqer
10º
47
47
10º
100%
Al-Zulfi
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Al Rawdhah
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Jerash
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Arar
14º
42
42
14º
0%
Al Jeel
15º
42
42
15º
0%
Al Sadd
16º
39
39
16º
100%
17º
38
38
17º
0%
Al Entesar
18º
38
38
18º
0%
Al-Rayyan
19º
36
36
19º
100%
Wej SC
20º
36
36
20º
100%
Al-Lewaa
21º
35
35
21º
100%
Al-Taqadom
22º
35
35
22º
100%
Hottain
23º
32
32
23º
100%
Al Qous
24º
32
32
24º
100%
Al-Ansar FC
25º
31
31
25º
100%
Al-Washm
26º
30
30
26º
100%
Qilwah
27º
28
28
27º
0%
Al-Shoaib
28º
28
28
28º
0%
Neom SC
29º
27
27
29º
100%
Al Sharq
30º
26
26
30º
100%
Al-Nahdha
31º
23
23
31º
100%
Sajer
32º
18
18
32º
100%
Expected probabilities
Al Nairyah
Al-Safa
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Al Nairyah
Al-Safa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Nairyah
Al Nairyah
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2023
ARA
Al-Rayyan
2 - 2
Al Nairyah
NAI
38%
26%
36%
50 46 4 0
24 Feb. 2023
NAI
Al Nairyah
2 - 0
Al Sharq
SHA
71%
18%
11%
50 38 12 0
18 Feb. 2023
ALK
Al-Kawkab
0 - 0
Al Nairyah
NAI
50%
25%
26%
49 51 2 +1
12 Feb. 2023
NAI
Al Nairyah
1 - 1
Sajer
SJR
73%
17%
10%
50 36 14 -1
07 Feb. 2023
NAI
Al Nairyah
2 - 1
Bisha
BFC
42%
25%
33%
49 51 2 +1

Matches

Al-Safa
Al-Safa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2023
ALS
Al-Safa
2 - 1
Sajer
SJR
71%
19%
10%
53 36 17 0
24 Feb. 2023
ALS
Al-Safa
1 - 0
Bisha
BFC
44%
27%
29%
52 51 1 +1
18 Feb. 2023
ANS
Al-Ansar FC
3 - 2
Al-Safa
ALS
30%
28%
42%
53 46 7 -1
12 Feb. 2023
ALS
Al-Safa
3 - 0
Al-Shoaib
ASB
64%
21%
15%
52 42 10 +1
07 Feb. 2023
ALS
Al-Safa
0 - 1
Al-Kawkab
ALK
48%
27%
24%
53 51 2 -1