Al Naft vs Peshmarga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Naft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
ALN
37%
30%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2010 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALK
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ALN
3 - 0
DUH
41%
31%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALN
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
ALN
1 - 1
DIY
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Peshmarga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
PES
2 - 1
ALS
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
PES
31%
28%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
JAI
0 - 0
PES
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 1
PES
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
PES
0 - 0
ALK
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |