Al Naft vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Naft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ZAK
2 - 1
ALN
56%
27%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ALN
1 - 0
RAM
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 1
ALN
43%
30%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ALN
2 - 1
PES
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
ALN
37%
30%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ALS
3 - 1
ARB
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 2
ARB
29%
29%
43%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALK
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 1
PES
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
ARB
5 - 0
JAI
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |