Premier League Round 34

Al Mokawloon vs Al Ahly SC analysis

Al Mokawloon Al Ahly SC
74 ELO 78
-15.4% Tilt -5%
1035º General ELO ranking 1056º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
32.5%
Al Mokawloon
28.5%
Draw
39%
Al Ahly SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
Al Mokawloon
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
39%
Win probability
Al Ahly SC
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Mokawloon
-5%
+20%
Al Ahly SC

Points and table prediction

Al Mokawloon
Their league position
Al Ahly SC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
11º
83
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Al Ahly SC
83
83
100%
Pyramids
73
73
100%
Zamalek
60
60
100%
Modern SC
58
58
100%
Al-Masry
48
48
100%
ENPPI
45
45
100%
Al Mokawloon
44
44
100%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
43
43
100%
Pharco FC
42
42
100%
Smouha SC
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Ismaily
11º
40
40
11º
100%
National Bank of Egypt
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Cleopatra FC
13º
37
37
13º
100%
Talaea El-Gaish
14º
36
36
14º
100%
El Dakhleya
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Aswan SC
16º
33
33
16º
0%
Ghazl El Mehalla
17º
33
33
17º
0%
Haras El-Hodood
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Al Mokawloon
Al Ahly SC
Champion
0% 100%
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Al Mokawloon
Al Ahly SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Mokawloon
Al Mokawloon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2023
ALI
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 - 0
Al Mokawloon
MOK
41%
27%
32%
75 75 0 0
04 Jul. 2023
ZAM
Zamalek
6 - 1
Al Mokawloon
MOK
51%
24%
25%
77 77 0 -2
30 Jun. 2023
MOK
Al Mokawloon
0 - 1
El Dakhleya
ELD
62%
24%
14%
77 64 13 0
22 Jun. 2023
CCF
Cleopatra FC
0 - 1
Al Mokawloon
MOK
40%
26%
34%
77 73 4 0
08 Jun. 2023
ASW
Aswan SC
1 - 1
Al Mokawloon
MOK
26%
27%
48%
77 65 12 0

Matches

Al Ahly SC
Al Ahly SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2023
ALA
Al Ahly SC
4 - 1
Zamalek
ZAM
43%
27%
30%
77 77 0 0
08 Jul. 2023
ALI
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 - 2
Al Ahly SC
ALA
39%
27%
34%
77 76 1 0
05 Jul. 2023
ALA
Al Ahly SC
1 - 0
Ismaily
ISM
56%
25%
19%
77 72 5 0
02 Jul. 2023
CCF
Modern SC
0 - 0
Al Ahly SC
ALA
34%
28%
38%
77 76 1 0
29 Jun. 2023
NBE
National Bank of Egypt
0 - 3
Al Ahly SC
ALA
38%
27%
36%
77 74 3 0