Arab Club Champions Cup Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 4-3
Al-Merreikh SC vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
ALM
15%
25%
60%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
4 - 1
ALA
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
HAY
0 - 1
ALM
18%
27%
55%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
KHA
0 - 1
ALM
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
USM
2 - 1
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
ORA
0 - 0
USM
34%
28%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
USM
1 - 0
JSK
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 3
USM
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
USM
2 - 2
USM
32%
29%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |