Al-Merreikh SC vs Al-Ahly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
74.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
3 - 0
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 0
MER
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
HIL
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
SIM
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
ALM
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
VCL
0 - 3
ALA
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
ISM
0 - 2
ALA
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
VCL
57%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 1
GEI
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
SIM
1 - 0
ALA
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |