Al Jubail vs Arar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Jubail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASB
1 - 3
ALJ
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ALJ
1 - 0
AQS
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
TFC
0 - 1
ALJ
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ALJ
2 - 0
WEG
53%
23%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 1
ALJ
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
TFC
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
ALS
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ANS
2 - 2
AFC
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
AQS
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ASA
2 - 1
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |