Iraq League Round 9

Al Jaish vs Samarra analysis

Al Jaish Samarra
68 ELO 65
-1.6% Tilt -4.8%
29060º General ELO ranking 35669º
44º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
55.9%
Al Jaish
22.9%
Draw
21.1%
Samarra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
Al Jaish
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.1%
Win probability
Samarra
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Al Jaish
Samarra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Jaish
Al Jaish
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2002
BFC
Basra
2 - 1
Al Jaish
JAI
40%
26%
34%
68 64 4 0
18 Oct. 2002
JAI
Al Jaish
1 - 0
Al Naft
ALN
54%
24%
23%
67 67 0 +1
11 Oct. 2002
JAI
Al Jaish
0 - 0
Karkuk
KFC
56%
23%
21%
67 65 2 0
04 Oct. 2002
ALS
Al Shorta
1 - 0
Al Jaish
JAI
69%
18%
13%
68 72 4 -1
27 Sep. 2002
JAI
Al Jaish
1 - 1
Zakho
ZAK
56%
23%
21%
68 67 1 0

Matches

Samarra
Samarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2002
SFC
Samarra
1 - 2
Erbil
ARB
34%
27%
39%
65 72 7 0
18 Oct. 2002
SFC
Samarra
0 - 1
Al Sinaah
ALS
51%
25%
24%
66 66 0 -1
11 Oct. 2002
ALT
Al Talaba
4 - 0
Samarra
SFC
68%
19%
13%
66 72 6 0
04 Oct. 2002
BFC
Basra
0 - 0
Samarra
SFC
45%
25%
30%
66 64 2 0
27 Sep. 2002
SFC
Samarra
1 - 1
Al Naft
ALN
45%
25%
30%
66 68 2 0