Al Ittihad Tripoli vs JCAT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ittihad Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ATB
2 - 2
AIT
17%
26%
57%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
AIT
3 - 0
ALN
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
AIT
2 - 1
ANB
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
ALO
0 - 1
AIT
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
KHS
0 - 6
AIT
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
JCAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
JCA
3 - 0
ASF
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ASF
0 - 0
JCA
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
JCA
2 - 0
ISS
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SEW
1 - 0
JCA
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
JCA
1 - 1
OUR
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |