Saudi Arabia Second Division Final
Global 3-3
Al-Diriyah vs Al-Kawkab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Diriyah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ALK
2 - 2
ALD
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 0
TUH
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
SUQ
0 - 0
ALD
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
OHO
0 - 1
ALD
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 1
OYO
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Kawkab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ALK
2 - 2
ALD
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ALK
3 - 3
DHA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALK
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
ALK
2 - 0
TAR
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 2
ALK
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |