Al-Basit vs Higueruela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Basit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BON
3 - 0
ABA
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ABA
6 - 1
ALP
63%
19%
18%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAU
2 - 1
ABA
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ABA
2 - 3
CMG
26%
22%
53%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SOC
5 - 0
ABA
71%
18%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Higueruela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HIG
3 - 1
CAS
52%
21%
26%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HIG
0 - 3
BON
45%
23%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
3 - 4
HIG
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HIG
1 - 6
CAU
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CMG
1 - 0
HIG
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |