Lebanon League Championship round Round 4

Al Ansar Beirut vs Safa analysis

Al Ansar Beirut Safa
53 ELO 50
4.1% Tilt 18.3%
4436º General ELO ranking 4467º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.4%
Al Ansar Beirut
25.1%
Draw
29.5%
Safa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
Al Ansar Beirut
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.5%
Win probability
Safa
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Ansar Beirut
+86%
+95%
Safa

ELO progression

Al Ansar Beirut
Safa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Ansar Beirut
Al Ansar Beirut
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
ALA
Al Ansar Beirut
4 - 0
Bourj
BOU
50%
26%
24%
52 52 0 0
16 Feb. 2024
SAF
Safa
1 - 2
Al Ansar Beirut
ALA
35%
23%
41%
52 52 0 0
09 Feb. 2024
ALA
Al Ansar Beirut
4 - 1
Racing Beirut
RAC
60%
22%
19%
52 47 5 0
02 Feb. 2024
ALA
Al Ahed
1 - 1
Al Ansar Beirut
ALA
40%
25%
35%
52 52 0 0
28 Jan. 2024
ALA
Al Ansar Beirut
3 - 1
Al Sahel Shabab
SHA
49%
24%
28%
53 52 1 -1

Matches

Safa
Safa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2024
SAF
Safa
0 - 0
Al Ahed
ALA
41%
26%
33%
52 52 0 0
16 Feb. 2024
SAF
Safa
1 - 2
Al Ansar Beirut
ALA
35%
23%
41%
52 52 0 0
10 Feb. 2024
SAF
Safa
1 - 0
Al Nejmeh
ALN
44%
26%
29%
52 52 0 0
04 Feb. 2024
RAC
Racing Beirut
0 - 1
Safa
SAF
36%
25%
39%
50 48 2 +2
26 Jan. 2024
SAF
Safa
0 - 0
Racing Beirut
RAC
49%
24%
28%
50 48 2 0