Al Ahly SC vs Smouha SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
WAD
0 - 1
ALA
33%
30%
37%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAB
0 - 0
ALA
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
TUS
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 0
MIS
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GOU
0 - 2
ALA
36%
30%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
SMO
0 - 0
HEL
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TEL
0 - 1
SMO
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
WAD
0 - 3
SMO
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SMO
5 - 1
GHA
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
MIS
3 - 1
SMO
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |