Al-Ahly vs Haras El-Hodood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
ENP
1 - 2
ALA
21%
26%
53%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
5 - 0
SIM
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
WAD
1 - 2
ALA
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
MIS
0 - 3
ALA
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
ALA
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Haras El-Hodood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
HEL
1 - 2
GOU
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
ELD
0 - 1
HEL
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
HEL
2 - 1
EEE
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
ASY
3 - 1
HEL
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
HEL
4 - 1
WAD
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |