Premier League Round 19

Al Ahly SC vs El Gouna FC analysis

Al Ahly SC El Gouna FC
77 ELO 70
-8% Tilt -9.9%
1052º General ELO ranking 1065º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
62.1%
Al Ahly SC
23.8%
Draw
14.1%
El Gouna FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
Al Ahly SC
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
14.1%
Win probability
El Gouna FC
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Ahly SC
+22%
-7%
El Gouna FC

ELO progression

Al Ahly SC
El Gouna FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Ahly SC
Al Ahly SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2011
ALM
Al-Masry
0 - 0
Al Ahly SC
ALA
39%
28%
33%
77 74 3 0
23 Apr. 2011
ZES
Zesco United
0 - 0
Al Ahly SC
ALA
11%
21%
68%
77 42 35 0
17 Apr. 2011
ALA
Al Ahly SC
1 - 0
Talaea El-Gaish
GEI
56%
24%
20%
77 73 4 0
13 Apr. 2011
ELS
Ittihad El-Shorta
1 - 2
Al Ahly SC
ALA
45%
27%
28%
77 77 0 0
02 Apr. 2011
SSU
SuperSport United
1 - 0
Al Ahly SC
ALA
32%
26%
42%
78 67 11 -1

Matches

El Gouna FC
El Gouna FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2011
GOU
El Gouna FC
2 - 3
Ismaily
ISM
38%
29%
33%
70 77 7 0
19 Apr. 2011
ALM
Al-Masry
1 - 1
El Gouna FC
GOU
54%
27%
19%
70 74 4 0
13 Apr. 2011
GOU
El Gouna FC
2 - 1
ENPPI
ENP
35%
29%
36%
70 77 7 0
20 Jan. 2011
GOU
El Gouna FC
2 - 2
Talaea El-Gaish
GEI
45%
29%
27%
69 72 3 +1
24 Dec. 2010
PET
PetroJet
1 - 0
El Gouna FC
GOU
61%
23%
15%
70 74 4 -1