Al-Ahly vs Cotonsport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
40%
30%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ZAN
0 - 0
ALA
10%
20%
70%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 2
ENP
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
WYD
2 - 0
ALA
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
SMO
2 - 4
ALA
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cotonsport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
COT
2 - 1
COS
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
COT
0 - 2
WYD
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
COT
48%
29%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
COT
0 - 1
ZAN
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
COT
3 - 0
YOU
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |