Super Cup Egypt Final

Al Ahly SC vs Modern SC analysis

Al Ahly SC Modern SC
78 ELO 74
-3.3% Tilt -2.4%
1047º General ELO ranking 1155º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Al Ahly SC
24%
Draw
24.4%
Modern SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
Al Ahly SC
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.3%
Win probability
Modern SC
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Ahly SC
+11%
+2%
Modern SC

ELO progression

Al Ahly SC
Modern SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Ahly SC
Al Ahly SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 2023
ALA
Al Ahly SC
1 - 0
Cleopatra FC
CCF
48%
25%
28%
77 76 1 0
22 Dec. 2023
URA
Urawa Reds
2 - 4
Al Ahly SC
ALA
56%
23%
21%
76 83 7 +1
18 Dec. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 0
Al Ahly SC
ALA
73%
16%
11%
76 87 11 0
15 Dec. 2023
ALA
Al Ahly SC
3 - 1
Al-Ittihad
ALI
40%
25%
35%
75 76 1 +1
08 Dec. 2023
ALA
Al Ahly SC
0 - 0
CR Belouizdad
BEL
50%
25%
25%
75 75 0 0

Matches

Modern SC
Modern SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 2023
CCF
Modern SC
0 - 0
Pyramids
ASY
38%
27%
36%
75 75 0 0
20 Dec. 2023
CCF
Modern SC
0 - 0
USM Alger
USM
41%
27%
32%
75 74 1 0
14 Dec. 2023
CCF
Modern SC
1 - 1
Cleopatra FC
CCF
37%
29%
34%
75 76 1 0
10 Dec. 2023
USM
USM Alger
1 - 0
Modern SC
CCF
52%
24%
24%
75 76 1 0
03 Dec. 2023
ALH
Al Hilal
1 - 2
Modern SC
CCF
31%
27%
42%
75 68 7 0