Al Ahly SC vs ASEC Mimosas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
HEL
1 - 2
ALA
42%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
ALA
3 - 2
GHA
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALA
17%
21%
62%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALA
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALA
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ASEC Mimosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ASE
2 - 0
LAG
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
ASE
2 - 0
ESP
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ASE
1 - 1
SAB
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
ASE
1 - 0
ALH
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
ALH
2 - 1
ASE
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |