Al Ahly SC vs Al Mokawloon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
WAS
1 - 1
ALA
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 1
ESP
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 2
WAS
67%
19%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
SET
2 - 1
ALA
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Al Mokawloon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
MOK
4 - 2
GOU
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
ELD
0 - 2
MOK
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
MOK
2 - 0
EEE
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
HEL
0 - 0
MOK
34%
28%
37%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
ISM
1 - 0
MOK
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |