Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hay Al Wadi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2022 |
WNK
1 - 1
AAS
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
AAS
1 - 1
ALH
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AAS
1 - 3
ALM
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
AAS
0 - 2
ALA
51%
26%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
AAS
3 - 0
ALA
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hay Al Wadi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2022 |
HAW
0 - 1
ALA
38%
28%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 0
HAW
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
HAW
1 - 4
ALM
29%
25%
45%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
WNK
2 - 1
HAW
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
HAW
0 - 3
TUT
38%
25%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |