Al Ahli Tripoli vs Al-Nahda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.5%
2-0
19.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.5%
3.2%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
GEI
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
GEI
1 - 2
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 1
ASC
51%
28%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
TRI
33%
30%
37%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASS
51%
27%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nahda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
ALN
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALI
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ALN
1 - 1
RUS
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
SHB
0 - 3
ALN
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALN
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |