Crown Prince Cup Saudi Arabia Semi-finals

Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Nassr analysis

Al-Ahli SFC Al-Nassr
79 ELO 79
5.5% Tilt 10.8%
849º General ELO ranking 867º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.6%
Al-Ahli SFC
24.7%
Draw
28.7%
Al-Nassr

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
Al-Ahli SFC
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.7%
Win probability
Al-Nassr
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Ahli SFC
+40%
+31%
Al-Nassr

ELO progression

Al-Ahli SFC
Al-Nassr
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Ahli SFC
Al-Ahli SFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2015
HAJ
Hajer FC
0 - 3
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
26%
26%
48%
78 66 12 0
23 Dec. 2014
ALI
Al-Ettifaq
1 - 2
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
36%
25%
39%
78 73 5 0
19 Dec. 2014
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
1 - 1
Al-Ittihad
ALI
47%
24%
28%
78 76 2 0
12 Dec. 2014
ALT
Al-Taawoun
1 - 4
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
34%
26%
41%
78 73 5 0
04 Dec. 2014
ALF
Al-Fateh SC
0 - 1
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
34%
26%
41%
78 73 5 0

Matches

Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2015
NAJ
Najran
0 - 4
Al-Nassr
ALN
34%
27%
39%
78 70 8 0
23 Dec. 2014
ALS
Al-Shoalah FC
1 - 3
Al-Nassr
ALN
28%
25%
47%
79 67 12 -1
19 Dec. 2014
ALS
Al-Shabab
0 - 3
Al-Nassr
ALN
49%
25%
27%
78 77 1 +1
13 Dec. 2014
ALN
Al-Nassr
1 - 0
Al-Hilal SFC
ALH
52%
24%
24%
78 78 0 0
04 Dec. 2014
ALN
Al-Nassr
0 - 0
Al-Faisaly FC
ALF
60%
22%
19%
78 75 3 0