Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
3º
10º
5º
75
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
67 | 67 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
WAS
0 - 2
ALA
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 0
ALA
39%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALJ
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 2
DHA
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
ALH
5 - 0
ALS
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KHO
2 - 4
ALH
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALH
13%
18%
69%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 3
ALH
26%
22%
52%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |