AFC Champions . Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
AHD
3 - 1
SHA
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AHD
2 - 0
ALN
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
ALH
1 - 1
AHD
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
AHD
2 - 1
ALD
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
AHD
2 - 1
NAT
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
ALH
1 - 1
AHD
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALR
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
LEK
2 - 2
ALH
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALH
39%
27%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ALH
4 - 1
LEK
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |