Al Ahli Amman vs Al-Baqa'a analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
10º
8º
7
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 51 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 48 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 48 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 38 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 34 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 31 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 29 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 27 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 20 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
61% | 69% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Amman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
ALH
5 - 2
AAH
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
AAH
0 - 0
ALW
25%
24%
50%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
AAH
3 - 3
ALS
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALR
1 - 2
AAH
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AAH
1 - 0
ALJ
28%
28%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Baqa'a
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 1
ALH
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
DQR
0 - 1
ALB
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ALW
0 - 1
ALB
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
AMA
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |