NPFL Round 8

Akwa United vs Warri Wolves FC analysis

Akwa United Warri Wolves FC
65 ELO 71
-11.8% Tilt -14%
1536º General ELO ranking 1739º
11º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
36.8%
Akwa United
29.8%
Draw
33.3%
Warri Wolves FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
Akwa United
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
33.3%
Win probability
Warri Wolves FC
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Akwa United
-2%
+16%
Warri Wolves FC

ELO progression

Akwa United
Warri Wolves FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Akwa United
Akwa United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2016
ENU
Enugu Rangers
3 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
61%
23%
16%
66 72 6 0
16 Mar. 2016
AKW
Akwa United
3 - 0
Ikorodu United
IKO
44%
28%
29%
67 66 1 -1
11 Mar. 2016
AKW
Akwa United
2 - 0
Plateau United
PLA
37%
28%
36%
65 67 2 +2
06 Mar. 2016
KAN
Kano Pillars
3 - 2
Akwa United
AKW
66%
21%
13%
65 71 6 0
02 Mar. 2016
AKW
Akwa United
3 - 1
Heartland Owerri
HEA
33%
31%
35%
64 72 8 +1

Matches

Warri Wolves FC
Warri Wolves FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2016
ALM
Al-Merreikh SC
1 - 0
Warri Wolves FC
WAR
46%
25%
29%
75 70 5 0
13 Mar. 2016
WAR
Warri Wolves FC
0 - 1
Al-Merreikh SC
ALM
57%
23%
21%
76 69 7 -1
06 Mar. 2016
WAR
Warri Wolves FC
1 - 0
Niger Tornadoes
NIG
51%
25%
24%
72 71 1 +4
02 Mar. 2016
WAR
Warri Wolves FC
0 - 0
Enugu Rangers
ENU
54%
25%
21%
72 71 1 0
28 Feb. 2016
PRC
Sporting Praia Cruz
0 - 3
Warri Wolves FC
WAR
6%
15%
79%
73 33 40 -1