AP Brera vs Vardar Skopje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
SHK
3 - 1
AKP
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AKP
1 - 1
FCS
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
AKP
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AKP
1 - 1
RAB
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
OSO
1 - 4
AKP
5%
10%
85%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Vardar Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
SIL
2 - 2
VAR
23%
28%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 1
SHK
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 1
VAR
13%
27%
60%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 0
REN
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
SHK
1 - 0
VAR
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |