AP Brera vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
7º
12º
10º
0
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 43 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 41 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 39 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 39 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 31 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 29 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 24 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 24 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
2 | 24 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 22 |
12º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
45.5% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
TIK
0 - 0
AKP
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
OHR
1 - 1
AKP
12%
18%
70%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 2
AKP
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2025 |
AKP
1 - 2
PEL
45%
25%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
SIL
5 - 0
AKP
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2025 |
KGE
0 - 2
SHK
10%
18%
72%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2025 |
SHK
2 - 4
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2025 |
PEL
2 - 0
SHK
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
SHK
0 - 3
SIL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
SHK
5 - 1
SHK
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |