AP Brera vs FK Skopje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
10º
22
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
AKP
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RAB
0 - 5
AKP
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
1 - 2
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AKP
4 - 3
POB
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FK Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 2
SHK
20%
28%
52%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SIL
3 - 1
FKS
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 0
FKS
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 0
BES
61%
21%
19%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
FKS
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |