AJS Sainte Marie vs HZAM Amparafaravola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AJS Sainte Marie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
FCE
4 - 0
ASM
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CNA
4 - 0
ASM
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 1
ACF
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
BAT
1 - 0
ASM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HZAM Amparafaravola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ACF
0 - 3
AMP
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 2
AMP
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CNA
3 - 0
AMP
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
FCE
2 - 0
AMP
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |