Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
6 - 2
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
32%
25%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
WIL
0 - 1
PSV
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VVV
1 - 1
WIL
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |