Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
GRO
2 - 4
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
AJA
7 - 2
SCH
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
FEY
0 - 1
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
WIL
5 - 2
SCH
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 2
UTR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
WIL
4 - 2
GRO
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
WIL
2 - 0
MVV
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |